seanbetts--steam-hardware-watch/status/runs/2026-06-15.md

# Run Note: 2026-06-15

## Summary

- Full watch pass completed.
- No watched SteamKit/PICS changenumber movement since `2026-06-09`; the all-four Steam Machine package bump remains parked at:
  - `1629446`: `36426730`
  - `1629447`: `36426723`
  - `1629458`: `36426735`
  - `1629460`: `36426739`
- Valve public APIs still show no public Machine/Frame packages, package groups, price, reservation state, or exact availability.
- Komodo product timestamps are unchanged versus `2026-06-12`.
- Customs rows are unchanged versus `2026-06-12`: the newest captured rows remain the five `2026-06-10` `VIRTUAL REALITY DEVICES` rows and same-day `WIRELESS PC CONTROLLER` row.
- SteamTracking source is now commit `fb10b74d36d7d0560d4251d5ac8be6383efcd821` (`2026-06-14T10:27:14Z`). After stripping line-number churn, the dedicated Frame, Machine, and broad hardware signal reports had `0` substantive added or removed lines versus `2026-06-12`.
- `steam_client_publicbeta_linuxarm64` moved from `1781212412` to `1781329812`; `bins_linuxarm64` and `steam_linuxarm64` changed, while `bins_hardware_linuxarm64` did not.

## Source Checks

### Komodo

- Reachable.
- Product modified timestamps:
  - Controller: `2026-06-10T17:25:21`
  - Machine: `2026-05-27T16:53:06`
  - Frame: `2026-05-27T16:53:46`
- No product timestamp movement versus `2026-06-12`.
- Visual assets: `141` discovered, `138` retrieved, `3` blocked. This is not a new product signal; one previously blocked asset was retrievable.

### SteamDB

- Blocked/challenge pages again for watched app/package pages, including all Machine and Frame reservation package IDs.
- No fresh SteamDB human-readable corroboration was collected.

### SteamTracking / GameTracking

- Source commit: `fb10b74d36d7d0560d4251d5ac8be6383efcd821`, timestamp `2026-06-14T10:27:14Z`.
- Raw comparison showed many Frame/Machine/Hardware signal line deltas, but these normalize to `0` substantive changes after removing line numbers.
- Known Frame signals remain present:
  - `WelcomeToSteamFrame`
  - `controller_steamframe_pair`
  - `skip_steamframe_pairing_dialog`
  - `SteamFrameWirelessAdapterDialog_*`
  - `steamFrameVerifiedApps`
  - `k_EAppTestType_SteamFrameCompatibilityReview`
- Known Machine signals remain present:
  - `GuidedTour_SteamMachine_Welcome_Title`
  - `GuidedTour_SteamMachine_SendOff_Description`
  - `GuidedTour_SDCard_Title_SteamMachine`
  - Steam Machine compatibility strings
- ARM64 manifest watch:
  - `steam_client_beta_linuxarm64`: unchanged at `1780371519`.
  - `steam_client_publicbeta_linuxarm64`: moved to `1781329812`.
  - Public-beta `bins_linuxarm64` and `steam_linuxarm64` changed.
  - Public-beta `bins_hardware_linuxarm64` did not change.

### SteamVR Depots

- SteamDB depot page blocked/challenged again.
- News metadata still shows latest item as `Introducing SteamVR 2.16` from `2026-06-02T18:59:37Z`.
- No fresh depot manifest/build comparison was collected.

### SteamOS Package Mirror

- Reachable.
- Key lines unchanged versus `2026-06-12`.
- `fremont-hw-support` remains `20260506.1-1` in `holo-3.8` and `holo-main`.
- `jupiter-main` Neptune firmware packages remain at `jupiter.20260610.1-1`.
- `jupiter-3.8` Neptune firmware packages remain at `jupiter.20260604.1-1`.
- No direct Steam Frame, Steam Machine, Deckard, Roy, ARM, or Snapdragon namespace appeared.

### Valve Support / CDN

- Public Valve APIs unchanged:
  - Controller app `4165870`: public, package `1558609`, package group present, `$99.00`.
  - Frame app `4165890`: public app metadata, `Coming soon`, no packages/package groups/price.
  - Machine app `4165910`: public app metadata, `Coming soon`, no packages/package groups/price.
  - Machine packages `1629446`, `1629447`, `1629458`, `1629460`: `packagedetails success:false`.
  - Frame packages `1629484`, `1629486`: `packagedetails success:false`.

### Customs / Regulatory

- Partial.
- ImportInfo fetches failed/blocked.
- ImportGenius importer pages fetched and parsed successfully.
- Relevant shipment count remains `36`, unchanged versus `2026-06-12`.
- Newest captured rows remain:
  - five `2026-06-10` `VIRTUAL REALITY DEVICES` rows to `CEVA C/O VALVE CORPORATION` / `CEVA NL C/O VALVE CORPORATION`.
  - one `2026-06-10` `WIRELESS PC CONTROLLER` row to `VALVE CORPORATION`.
- No newer customs row was captured.

## Effect On Key Questions

- Price: unchanged. Controller remains `$99.00`; Machine and Frame still have no public price.
- Release date: unchanged. Controller is public/released; Machine and Frame still expose only `Coming soon` / `2026`.
- Same-time launch: no. Controller is already public/purchasable; Machine and Frame still lack public package groups and prices.
- Product readiness: no new public readiness signal today. Machine remains the strongest Steam backend signal because of the June 9 package bump; Frame remains supported by SteamTracking strings and the June 10 VR-labelled logistics rows, but without new PICS/API movement.

## Next Checks

- Re-check SteamKit/PICS for continued Machine or Frame package movement.
- Keep Valve `appdetails` / `packagedetails` under high-frequency watch for public package, package-group, price, reservation, or purchase-state exposure.
- Continue tracking `steam_client_publicbeta_linuxarm64`, but treat changes as secondary unless `bins_hardware_linuxarm64` or new product-specific strings move.
- Keep ImportGenius CEVA / CEVA NL / Valve Corp importer pages in the normal customs rotation and watch for additional `VIRTUAL REALITY DEVICES`, `GAME CONSOLE`, or `WIRELESS PC CONTROLLER` arrivals.