Record Steam Machine follow-up package movement

status/runs/2026-05-14.md

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+# Run Note: 2026-05-14
+
+## Summary
+
+- Full skill run completed with artifacts under `/Users/sean/Coding/steam-hardware-watch/runs/2026-05-14`.
+- Material finding: SteamKit/PICS shows a second/follow-up changenumber bump across all four watched Steam Machine reservation package IDs since the `2026-05-12` run.
+- Steam Frame package IDs did not move.
+- Valve public APIs still do not expose Steam Machine or Steam Frame package groups, public package details, price, exact release timing, or purchase/reservation readiness.
+- Komodo was partially recovered through the dedicated browser fallback for Controller data, but Machine and Frame optional Komodo endpoints still failed.
+
+## Source Checks
+
+### Komodo
+
+- Initial automated Komodo access was blocked.
+- Dedicated browser fallback recovered the Controller product enough to record a new modified timestamp: `2026-05-13T09:02:58`.
+- Controller JSON diff versus `2026-05-12` is timestamp-only (`modified` / `modified_gmt`).
+- Machine and Frame product/section fetches failed in this run. Compare-report lines suggesting Machine/Frame section removal should be treated as partial-fetch artifacts.
+- Visual assets: `141` discovered, `136` retrieved, `5` blocked known Komodo URLs.
+
+### SteamKit / PICS
+
+- SteamKit/PICS completed successfully.
+- Machine package movement:
+  - `1629446`: `35819604` -> `35842876`
+  - `1629447`: `35819607` -> `35842851`
+  - `1629458`: `35819602` -> `35842860`
+  - `1629460`: `35819593` -> `35842863`
+- Frame packages stayed unchanged:
+  - `1629484`: `35672606`
+  - `1629486`: `35672606`
+- Controller package `1558609` stayed unchanged at `35745078`.
+- Machine app `4165910`, Frame app `4165890`, and Controller app `4165870` stayed unchanged.
+- Interpretation: this is a Machine-specific backend movement signal. It strengthens the Controller-precedent comparison because the Machine package cluster now has a later follow-up bump, but it remains private metadata only.
+
+### SteamDB
+
+- Automated SteamDB access remained blocked.
+- Reservation package rows remain `missing_or_blocked`, so SteamDB is not yet a human-readable corroborating baseline for today's package movement.
+
+### SteamTracking / GameTracking
+
+- Fresh checkout still contains the known Triton/Ibex controller pairing surface.
+- No new Machine or Frame price, reservation, package, or release-date signal was found.
+
+### SteamVR Depots
+
+- SteamVR news metadata was saved.
+- SteamDB SteamVR depot metadata remained blocked.
+- No fresh depot manifest/build comparison was collected.
+
+### SteamOS Package Mirror
+
+- Public mirror remained reachable.
+- `fremont-hw-support 20260506.1-1` remains visible in `holo-3.8` and `holo-main`.
+- No direct Steam Machine, Steam Frame, Deckard, Roy, ARM/Snapdragon, or new product-specific namespace surfaced in this pass.
+
+### Valve Support / CDN
+
+- Valve public endpoints were reachable.
+- Controller remains public with package `1558609`, package group present, and `$99.00`.
+- Frame app `4165890` remains `Coming soon`, with no public packages, no package groups, and no price.
+- Machine app `4165910` remains `Coming soon`, with no public packages, no package groups, and no price.
+- Machine packages `1629446`, `1629447`, `1629458`, `1629460` still return `packagedetails success:false`.
+- Frame packages `1629484`, `1629486` still return `packagedetails success:false`.
+
+### Customs / Regulatory
+
+- ImportInfo automated customs fetches were blocked.
+- No new customs evidence was added.
+
+## Effect On Key Questions
+
+- Price: unchanged. Only Steam Controller has a confirmed price.
+- Release date: unchanged. Only Steam Controller has a confirmed exact date.
+- Same-time launch: unchanged. Full same-day launch remains ruled out, and current private metadata movement points more toward Machine-specific preparation than Frame movement.
+- Product furthest along: Steam Controller is already public/purchasable. Among unreleased hardware, Steam Machine now has the strongest fresh backend-prep signal because all four watched package IDs moved again while Frame stayed unchanged.
+
+## Next Checks
+
+- Repeat focused SteamKit/PICS checks for the watched package IDs over the next 24-48 hours.
+- Watch Valve public `appdetails` / `packagedetails` for Machine package exposure, package groups, price, reservation text, or purchase eligibility.
+- Complete a trusted-browser SteamDB package-history pass for Machine packages `1629446`, `1629447`, `1629458`, and `1629460`.
+- Treat Komodo Controller timestamp movement as low-value unless a future diff shows content, media, stock-state, or section changes.